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Blue Owl Capital Corp (OBDC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered solid results with GAAP NII per share of $0.42 and adjusted NII per share of $0.40; both exceeded Wall Street consensus, driven by elevated one-time repayment/prepayment income and accelerated fee amortization . Results vs consensus: EPS $0.424 vs $0.398*, Total investment income $485.8M vs $480.1M*; beat driven by $32.1M of unscheduled paydown income and higher prepayment-related fees .
  • NAV per share declined to $15.03 (from $15.14 in Q1), primarily due to write-downs on a small number of watchlist names, partially offset by over-earning of dividends; non-accruals improved to 0.7% at fair value (0.8% in Q1) .
  • The Board declared a Q3 2025 base dividend of $0.37 and a Q2 2025 supplemental dividend of $0.02; adjusted earnings covered the base dividend with ~109% coverage, and spillover remained healthy at ~$0.33 per share, supporting payout stability in a lower-rate environment .
  • Management remains confident in credit quality and earnings power; spreads have “troughed and stabilized,” the origination pipeline is led by incumbencies, and synergies/portfolio rebalancing are expected to lift ROE by another 50–75 bps over time, a key medium-term catalyst .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “OBDC delivered another quarter of solid earnings and generated a 10.6% annualized return on adjusted net investment income” (CEO) .
    • Adjusted NII per share increased sequentially to $0.40 (from $0.39), supported by elevated one-time repayment income ($0.05/share), with supplemental dividend raised to $0.02 .
    • Portfolio performance remained resilient: non-accruals improved to 0.7% (fv), debt investments 97.6% floating, weighted average yield at fv 10.6% .
  • What Went Wrong

    • NAV per share declined to $15.03 (from $15.14) due to write-downs on a handful of watchlist names; total net realized/unrealized losses of $(79.2)M in the quarter .
    • Operating expenses rose to $266.8M (from $259.6M), reflecting higher interest, management and incentive fees post-merger .
    • Spread compression persists versus last year; management reaffirmed spreads have troughed and stabilized rather than widened alongside muted M&A and a strong syndicated market .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Investment Income ($USD Thousands)$396,760 $464,646 $485,843
Net Investment Income ($USD Thousands)$189,134 $201,302 $216,708
GAAP NII per Share ($)$0.48 $0.41 $0.42
Adjusted NII per Share ($)$0.48 $0.39 $0.40
Net Realized & Unrealized Gains (Losses) per Share ($)$(0.17) $0.08 $(0.15)
NAV per Share ($)$15.36 $15.14 $15.03
Net Debt-to-Equity (x)1.20x 1.26x 1.17x
Weighted Avg Yield at FV (%)11.9% 10.7% 10.6%
Non-Accruals (% FV)0.8% 0.7%

Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global):

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
EPS ($)$0.398*$0.424 +$0.026*
Total Investment Income ($USD)$480,118,500*$485,843,000 +$5,724,500*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment/Portfolio Composition (% of total investments at fair value):

SegmentQ1 2025Q2 2025
First-lien Senior Secured Debt77.5% 75.8%
Second-lien Senior Secured Debt5.0% 5.4%
Unsecured Debt2.1% 2.2%
Preferred Equity3.1% 3.3%
Common Equity10.2% 11.0%
Joint Ventures2.1% 2.3%

Operating/Investment Activity KPIs:

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
New Investment Commitments ($USD Thousands)$3,296,799 $1,158,874 $1,116,767
Principal Funded ($USD Thousands)$2,305,430 $912,859 $906,035
Sales & Repayments ($USD Thousands)$(1,146,773) $(1,078,446) $(1,906,887)
% Floating Rate Debt96.5% 96.5% 97.6%
Weighted Avg Spread (Floating)5.4% 5.2% 5.8%
Number of Portfolio Companies236 233

Drivers/Context:

  • One-time income: Unschedule paydowns generated $32.1M vs $8.2M in Q1; prepayment-related fees and accelerated amortization were key non-recurring tailwinds .
  • Expenses: Total operating expenses increased to $266.8M, reflecting higher interest, management, and incentive fees post-merger .
  • Realized/unrealized: Total net realized and change in unrealized losses were $(79.2)M; adjusted losses were $(68)M excluding ASC 805 effects .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Regular Dividend per Share ($)Q3 2025$0.37 (Q2 base) $0.37 Maintained
Supplemental Dividend per Share ($)Q2 2025$0.01 (Q1) $0.02 Raised
Leverage Target (Net)Ongoing0.9x–1.25x range Maintain; hover near top end ~1.15–1.20x Maintained
Dividend Outlook2025Covered by adjusted earnings Confident maintaining base dividend through rest of year Maintained/affirmed
ROE Uplift (Synergies/Portfolio mix)12–18 months~50–75 bps anticipated 50–75 bps reiterated (financing + JV/portfolio rebalance) Reiterated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Spreads & MarketSpreads tight; 475–500 bps; stabilized; strong BSL market “Spreads have troughed and stabilized”; hope to widen if BSL cools/M&A improves Stabilized; potential widening later
Tariffs/MacroDefensive portfolio; limited tariff exposure; re-underwrote book; cautious but resilient Tariff impact narrower than initially estimated; sponsors supporting diversification Improving visibility; managed risk
Originations & PipelineMuted M&A; incumbency-led flow; large platform deals (Catalent, Squarespace) $1.1B commitments; $906M fundings; majority from existing borrowers; repayments $1.9B Incumbency strength; net deleveraging
Equipment Leasing JV / New StrategiesJV consolidation; strategic equity/JVs accretive; ATM program initiated New equipment leasing JV; potential chunky data center/GPU lease opportunities Expanding into adjacent areas
PIK & CoveragePIK trending down; interest coverage ~1.8x PIK down to 9.1% of total investment income; coverage up to ~1.9x Improving credit metrics
Leverage & LiquidityWithin target; liquidity > unfunded commitments; ATM planned Net leverage down to 1.17x; >$4B cash/capacity; $500M new notes; >2x unfunded commitments Strong balance sheet; flexibility

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “OBDC delivered another quarter of solid earnings and generated a 10.6% annualized return on adjusted net investment income... positioning OBDC to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns across any economic environment.”
  • CEO: “Spreads have troughed and generally stabilized... we are confident that we will maintain our dividend level throughout the rest of the year.”
  • President: “We deployed approximately $1.1 billion of new investment commitments... with $906 million of fundings... repayments of $1.9 billion resulted in net leverage landing at 1.17x... majority of originations came from existing borrowers.”
  • CFO/COO: “Adjusted NII of $0.40 per share... $0.05 per share from elevated one-time repayment income... spillover income remains healthy at ~$0.33 per share.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Synergies/ROE uplift: Financing synergies plus portfolio rebalancing (JV/strategic equity) expected to add ~50–75 bps to ROE over time .
  • Deal flow: Increasing sponsor engagement across public-to-private, refinancing from syndicated into private, and add-ons; cautiously optimistic for H2 pickup .
  • Leverage posture: Intentionally reduced to 1.17x; plan to hover near top end of 0.9–1.25x range .
  • Equipment leasing JV: Diversified pool; potential chunky opportunities tied to data centers/GPUs; aims to produce low double-digit yields once ramped .
  • Refinancing pressure largely worked through: Only ~10–15% of book at risk for further spread resets in current environment .
  • Non-traded fund flows: Resilient with only ~20% off pre-tariff levels; supports origination capacity across platform .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 EPS and revenue beat consensus: EPS $0.424 vs $0.398*, Total investment income $485.8M vs $480.1M* .
  • Sequentially, adjusted NII per share rose to $0.40 (from $0.39), aided by higher one-time repayment income; EBITDA consensus unavailable for the quarter*.
  • Forward EPS consensus moderates given lower base rates and stabilized spreads (e.g., Q3 2025 EPS consensus ~$0.394*), implying modestly lower run-rate earnings versus 2024 peaks*.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: The EPS and revenue beats were driven by elevated prepayment/unplanned paydown income; absent repeat levels, run-rate NII may normalize—watch for Q3 repayment activity and deal volumes .
  • Dividend: Base dividend ($0.37) appears well-supported by adjusted earnings and spillover (~$0.33/share); management reiterated confidence in maintaining payout through 2025 .
  • Credit quality: Non-accruals improved to 0.7% and interest coverage rose to ~1.9x; tariff exposure narrower than initially expected; risk lens remains defensive .
  • Balance sheet: Net leverage reduced to 1.17x with >$4B liquidity and a recent $500M notes issuance—ample capacity to fund attractive opportunities while preserving flexibility .
  • Medium-term ROE: Expected 50–75 bps uplift from financing synergies and portfolio/JV rebalancing is a credible tailwind as spreads stabilize; potential to offset lower base rates .
  • Origination mix: Incumbency-driven originations and equipment leasing/data center adjacencies add diversified income streams; watch for contributions in H2 and 2026 .
  • Valuation drivers: Narrative hinges on dividend stability, credit resilience, and synergy realization; incremental widening of spreads or a pick-up in M&A would be positive catalysts .

Citations: Press release and 8-K (Q2 2025) ; 8-K Item 2.02 (Q2 2025) ; Scheduling PR (Q2) ; Prior quarter PR and call (Q1 2025) ; Q4 2024 PR and call .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*